The topic of this blog post came up at a party I was at last night.
What resulted was a pretty heated debate over whether or not you should switch doors.
I revealed the answer to the individuals who were there. Unfortunately it was not accepted with open arms, mainly because it required them to think "outside the box". In reality, they were not arguing against my opinion, but instead arguing against math. When math is right, it is very hard to prove him/her wrong. (Is math male or female? I'll let you decide).
It got so heated, we ran through the scenario a couple of times and created a small sample set using a bottle cap and three cups. Needless to say, the truth was revealed, to the chagrin of many.
Anyway, I want to encourage all my readers to post their thoughts on this topic before I post the answer. Take a risk. Hopefully you will all find this as fascinating as I do.
I'll post the answer tomorrow night at midnight.
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1 comment:
the answer is to switch your original guess. a crazy probability problem to say the least. nice post lippy!
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